Acutis Metrics

Economics · Data science · Measurement

Rigorous answers to expensive questions.

Acutis Metrics is an applied economics and data science practice. We help companies, financial institutions, regulators and development organisations price, forecast, test and evaluate the decisions that matter most, using methods honed at Microsoft, Amazon and the World Bank.

Book a call What we do
Measure what changed, and why
decision effect
Observed Counterfactual
TrainingPhD in Economics, Yale
IndustryEconomics and data science at Microsoft and Amazon
DevelopmentWorld Bank impact evaluations in 11 countries
LanguagesEnglish · Français · Kiswahili

What we do

One practice for the quantitative questions behind big decisions

Six areas of work, one standard: an answer you can defend to a board, a regulator or a funder.

01

Experimentation and measurement

A/B tests, holdouts, geo experiments and marketing incrementality for products, ads and growth teams.

Did the feature lift retention? Which channels are truly incremental?

02

Pricing and market economics

Pricing strategy, demand and elasticity estimation, market sizing and competitive analysis.

What should we charge? How big is the opportunity, really?

03

Forecasting and decision intelligence

Forecasts, scenario and risk models, and decision-support tools for financial institutions, regulators and operating teams.

What happens to our exposure if conditions shift? Where should we look first?

04

Impact evaluation and value for money

Evaluation design, power calculations, cost-effectiveness and value-for-money analysis for programmes, investments and policies.

Did the programme work? What does each result cost?

05

Economic statistics and data systems

Indicator frameworks, productivity and labour measurement, survey and sampling design, data-quality reviews and dashboards.

Are we measuring the right thing, and can we trust the data?

06

AI, data and policy

Measuring the economic and social effects of AI and digital technology, and building AI-assisted analytics workflows that make teams faster.

How is AI changing work and markets? How do we use it well?

Who we work with Technology and platforms Consumer and media Financial services and markets Central banks and regulators Multilaterals and development finance Governments and public programmes
Weeks → Days Time to a result

Rigorous doesn't have to mean slow. Muthoni built AI tooling for analysis that a data science team adopted as standard practice, cutting the time from question to result from weeks to days. Acutis Metrics brings the same workflow to every engagement.

Working together

Four ways to engage

Scoped tightly and priced up front. No open-ended day rates.

Fixed-fee project

A defined deliverable, such as a study, model, test design or evaluation, at a price agreed before work starts.

Expert review

An independent second opinion on an analysis, model or evaluation before it drives a decision.

Advisory retainer

Ongoing senior support for teams building their own analytics, experimentation or evaluation practice.

Key expert on bids

A named senior economist or data scientist on proposals led by consulting firms and evaluation partners.

Acutis Metrics takes on a small number of engagements at a time, so each one gets senior attention from scoping to final readout.

About

Muthoni Ngatia

Founder and Principal, Acutis Metrics

Muthoni is an applied economist and data scientist whose work spans experimentation, pricing, forecasting, impact evaluation and economic measurement. At Microsoft and Amazon she has led economics and data science work for products and businesses at scale, including Amazon Prime and AWS.

Before industry, she was a Young Professional and then an Economist at the World Bank, where she designed and ran impact evaluations across Madagascar, Malawi, Rwanda, Nigeria, Guinea, Kenya, Senegal, Burkina Faso, Chad, Comoros and India.

She holds a PhD in Economics from Yale. She is from Nairobi, is based in Washington, DC, and works in English, French and Kiswahili.

LinkedIn profile ↗

Contact

Have a decision that hinges on a number?

Book a 30-minute call about the question, the data and the deadline, or send a note using the form. No commitment: you’ll leave knowing whether and how we can help.

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Or email hello@acutismetrics.com

Not ready for a call? Send a note.